{"id":56877,"date":"2024-01-04T09:31:57","date_gmt":"2024-01-04T08:31:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.dk\/blog\/?p=56877"},"modified":"2026-03-11T15:19:22","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T14:19:22","slug":"2024-daarligt-kan-blive-godt","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.dk\/blog\/2024-daarligt-kan-blive-godt\/","title":{"rendered":"2024: Derfor kan d\u00e5rligt nyt blive gode nyheder"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p><em>Undervejs i 2023 var der ikke meget, der tydede p\u00e5, at det skulle blive et rigtig godt investerings\u00e5r, men slutspurten i november og december vendte op og ned p\u00e5 den udvikling. Hvis 2024 skal give os mere af det gode, vil det v\u00e6re en hj\u00e6lp, hvis de kommende m\u00e5neder byder p\u00e5 svag v\u00e6kst.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"2023-endte-godt\"><strong>2023 endte godt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Hvis man havde investeret i de &#8216;fantastiske 7&#8217; eller de &#8216;3 fede&#8217; i 2023, beh\u00f8vede man ikke at vente p\u00e5 \u00e5rets slutspurt i aktiemarkedet generelt for at vide sig sikker p\u00e5 et godt investerings\u00e5r. Hvis man derimod investeringsm\u00e6ssigt havde anbragt sine penge meget bredt i stedet for at koncentrere dem, var hovedparten af januar-oktober udfordrende.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/lh7-us.googleusercontent.com\/ZjUeFeaKwE_vduev89-E-lkxWBYH8U5OKBU-yHTnKhNsTFGdPyyrWNPnZFQe7B-3gYlAV4xR7buMIVDH0MN4VReicqX4EAGCuziSXBiyiAIDC4JipnlpLOkJcmnDxRO9G4W6I2vA6t8MAb7Wrllp-TM\" alt=\"\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p><em>Fra 27. oktober 2023 tog aktiestigningen for alvor fart. Figuren her viser udviklingen i 2023 i MSCI World-indekset, et indeks som d\u00e6kker <a href=\"https:\/\/www.nordnet.dk\/aktier\/kurser\">aktier<\/a> fra verden. Husk, at historiske afkast ikke er garant for fremtidige afkast. Kilde: nordnet.dk<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"solidt-comeback-til-60-40-investoren\"><strong>Solidt comeback til 60\/40-investoren<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Det var ikke kun aktierne, der sluttede godt. Ogs\u00e5 de investorer, som havde mange obligationer, fik afkastoprejsning efter det meget solide rentefald, der fulgte efter rentestigningen. Lavere renter var lige n\u00f8jagtig det vitamin, som var med til drive aktierne og brede stigningerne ud til flere end blot de f\u00e5.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"talen-der-aendrede-investeringsudsigterne\"><strong>Talen, der \u00e6ndrede investeringsudsigterne<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Den 13. december var der renteannoncering fra den amerikanske centralbank, Federal Reserve &#8211; og den tale og de ord passede investorerne s\u00e6rdeles godt. P\u00e5 den ene side lovede de ikke noget med hensyn til umiddelbare renteneds\u00e6ttelser. P\u00e5 den anden side gik centralbanken fra 2 til 3 forventede neds\u00e6ttelser af FED Funds i 2024. Det tolkede investorerne som et \u201drisk-on\u201d signal, og det var, efter min mening, et af de tidspunkter, hvor det giver mening at tr\u00e6kke &#8216;breaking news&#8217;-kortet.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"darlige-nyheder-om-okonomien-vil-vaere-godt-nyt-for-investorerne\"><strong>D\u00e5rlige nyheder om \u00f8konomien vil v\u00e6re godt nyt for investorerne.<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Investorerne er ved starten af 2024 overbeviste om, at centralbankerne i USA og Europa er g\u00e5et fra et rentestigningsmodus til en fremtid, hvor de kigger mere p\u00e5 rentefald. Og det er det, som har gjort forskellen for afkastet. Investorerne mener nu at have fundet en god finansiel bagstopper og medspiller, hvis og n\u00e5r n\u00f8gletallene bliver d\u00e5rligere og inflationen modereres yderligere. Det er den gode nyhed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"et-aber-dabei\"><strong>Et aber dabei<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Der er dog et aber dabei. Hvis n\u00f8gletallene ikke bliver d\u00e5rligere, og\/eller hvis inflationen ikke tillader centralbankerne at s\u00e6nke de renter, som er steget dramatisk fra marts 2022 og 15 m\u00e5neder frem, kan 2024 komme til at skuffe investorerne. Fornuftige n\u00f8gletal vil v\u00e6re godt for virksomhedernes indtjeningsmuligheder. Men p\u00e5 den anden side kommer den store effekt p\u00e5 det brede marked fra lavere renter. Hvis centralbankerne skuffer investorerne, kan det resultere i en ny udfordring.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"skidt-nyt-er-godt-nyt\"><strong>Skidt nyt er godt nyt<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n<p>Det lyder m\u00e5ske lidt &#8216;bagvendt&#8217;, men foruds\u00e6tningerne for at 2024 bliver et godt \u00e5r er, at vi f\u00e5r let skuffende n\u00f8gletal. Det vil nemlig give centralbankerne alibi til at levere &#8216;det rigtige&#8217; for investorerne; lavere renter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>Godt nyt\u00e5r.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Slutspurten i november og december vendte op og ned p\u00e5 udviklingen i 2023, som ellers ikke s\u00e5 pragende ud. Hvis 2024 skal give os mere af det gode, skal den kommende tid paradoksalt nok helst indeholde d\u00e5rlige nyheder.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40015,"featured_media":56899,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1288],"tags":[1612,2310],"class_list":["post-56877","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markedet","tag-persunivers","tag-tophistorier"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blog.nordnet.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/01\/2024_1200_430-150x54.jpg","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blog.nordnet.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2024\/01\/2024_1200_430-150x54.jpg 150w, 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