{"id":74135,"date":"2025-12-09T10:05:39","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T09:05:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.dk\/blog\/?p=74135"},"modified":"2026-03-11T15:14:35","modified_gmt":"2026-03-11T14:14:35","slug":"ekspert-novo-nordisk-bestemmer-fremtiden-for-de-danske-aktier","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.nordnet.dk\/blog\/ekspert-novo-nordisk-bestemmer-fremtiden-for-de-danske-aktier\/","title":{"rendered":"Ekspert: Novo Nordisk bestemmer fremtiden for de danske aktier\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Har du investeret st\u00f8rstedelen af din formue i danske aktier<\/a>? Og er du usikker p\u00e5, hvad fremtiden bringer? S\u00e5 l\u00e6s med og se, hvad investerings\u00f8konom Per Hansen siger, n\u00e5r vi pr\u00e6senterer ham for fem p\u00e5stande om danske aktier.<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

I denne artikel har vi fremlagt fem p\u00e5stande for Per Hansen, som giver sin \u00e6rlige vurdering af, hvor aktiemarkedet er p\u00e5 vej hen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Per<\/figure>
Per Hansen<\/span>

Investering\u00f8konom Per Hansen har arbejdet professionelt med\u00a0investering<\/a>\u00a0i 36 \u00e5r. Han har ikke set alt \u2013 men har set det meste. Han har v\u00e6ret gennem opture, nedture, finanskrisen, dot-com, covid-krise, booms og bobler.<\/p><\/div><\/div>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5stand 1: Det danske aktieindeks har ikke n\u00e5et bunden endnu<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“Det er der reelt ingen, der ved. Der har v\u00e6ret udsalg i danske aktier i en meget lang periode \u2013 reelt siden Novo Nordisk<\/a> toppede i sommeren 2024. P\u00e5 kort sigt k\u00f8ber investorer en aktie, n\u00e5r de tror, den vil stige, ikke fordi den ser billig ud. Og de s\u00e6lger, n\u00e5r de frygter et fald, ikke fordi aktien virker dyr.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Novo Nordisk har n\u00f8glen til de danske aktier. Hvis Novo Nordisk falder yderligere, er det sandsynligt, at det vil tr\u00e6kke de \u00f8vrige aktier med ned. Ikke alle og ikke 1:1, men udsalget vil formentlig i dette scenarie fortsat v\u00e6re drevet af udenlandske investorer, som ejer op til 60% af de danske aktier. I den henseende er det udviklingen i Novo Nordisk, investorerne holder \u00f8je med i relation til de danske aktier. N\u00e5r det regner p\u00e5 pr\u00e6sten, drypper det p\u00e5 degnen. Novo Nordisk er pr\u00e6sten, og de \u00f8vrige danske aktier er degnen.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5stand 2: De udenlandske investorers fravalg af de danske aktier er en overreaktion<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“Aktierne har altid den rigtige pris \u2013 i hvert fald i den forstand, at aktiemarkedet afspejler styrkeforholdet mellem k\u00f8bere og s\u00e6lgere p\u00e5 dagen. Set i et meget langsigtet perspektiv har de seneste 17 m\u00e5neder v\u00e6ret us\u00e6dvanligt h\u00e5rde ved de danske aktier, som ikke kun har underperformet sammenlignet med Europa og USA, men ogs\u00e5 betydeligt i forhold til resten af verden.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kortsigtet g\u00e6lder markedsvilk\u00e5rene som altid: Investorer s\u00e6lger aktier, indtil de begynder at stige igen. Hvis man sp\u00f8rger investorerne, om danske selskaber er sakket bagud i forhold til andre, vil svaret her og nu formentlig v\u00e6re \u201cja\u201d. Men tager man udgangspunkt i min seneste karakterbog<\/a>, er svaret lidt anderledes. Danske aktier klarer sig d\u00e5rligt lige nu af to grunde: For det f\u00f8rste tjener virksomhederne mindre end normalt, og for det andet g\u00f8r det investorerne mere forsigtige, s\u00e5 de ikke vil betale lige s\u00e5 h\u00f8je priser for aktierne, hvilket i sidste ende p\u00e5virker virksomhedernes overskud.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5 l\u00e6ngere sigt er der dog gode muligheder for et comeback. Investorerne er de seneste \u00e5r blevet langt mere kortsigtede og polariserede i deres valg, og det har ramt danske selskaber. Det er ikke kun life science, der tr\u00e6kker ned, svagheden er bred. En kombination af st\u00e6rkt USA-fokus, svagere regnskaber og h\u00f8je v\u00e6rdians\u00e6ttelser har f\u00f8rt til markant underperformance. N\u00e5r virksomhederne igen leverer, som de historisk har gjort, og investorerne vender tilbage til de langsigtede kvaliteter, er der gode chancer for, at danske aktier igen bliver valgt til.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5stand 3: En korrektion af det amerikanske marked vil smitte af p\u00e5 de danske aktier<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“Tjah, formentlig. Jeg t\u00f8ver, fordi det mest sandsynlige er, at en eller anden form for korrektion vil ske, sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5let er blot, hvor stor den bliver. Det, vi stadig ikke ved, er, om investorerne t\u00f8r k\u00f8be op i aktier, der allerede har v\u00e6ret faldende l\u00e6nge, hvis et bredere tilbageslag rammer resten af markedet. Fald i amerikanske aktier kan i nogen grad f\u00e5 investorer til at flytte kapital mod Europa, men effekten afh\u00e6nger af markedssituationen og den generelle risikovillighed.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Danmark har blandt andet p\u00e5 grund af Novo Nordisks svaghed, i mods\u00e6tning til Tyskland, ikke f\u00e5et samme gl\u00e6de af den \u00f8gede interesse for europ\u00e6iske aktier. Aktiemarkedet er formentlig et af de eneste steder, hvor tilbudsm\u00e6rkater ikke frister.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5stand 4: De danske investorer vender de danske aktier ryggen i 2026 og kigger mod udlandet i stedet<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“M\u00e5ske i et vist omfang. Man beh\u00f8ver ikke g\u00e5 l\u00e6ngere end til vores nabo i syd, Tyskland. 2025 har budt p\u00e5 en mager tysk v\u00e6kst, men aktierne er steget med 20 %. Hvorfor? Er det, fordi selskaberne har overrasket massivt positivt? Tjah \u2013 egentlig ikke. Men det er blandt andet, fordi globale investorer k\u00f8ber flere europ\u00e6iske og tyske aktier. Det sker bl.a. p\u00e5 bekostning af de danske aktier, som i st\u00f8rre udstr\u00e6kning bliver efterladt p\u00e5 perronen.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Der er alts\u00e5 noget om snakken \u2013 i et vist omfang. Hvor stort omfanget reelt er, er sv\u00e6rt at sige med sikkerhed. At udviklingen har v\u00e6ret meget skuffende, er dog desv\u00e6rre indiskutabelt.”<\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Kursudvikling, DAX<\/a> (bl\u00e5), C25<\/a> (gul), 5 \u00e5r Kilde: Nordnet. Historiske afkast er ikke garanti for fremtidige afkast.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

P\u00e5stand 5: Udviklingen i Novo Nordisk kommer til at afg\u00f8re retningen for det danske aktieindeks i 2026<\/strong><\/h3>\n\n\n\n

“Ja, det er min klare overbevisning. Novo Nordisk er fyrt\u00e5rnet, som alle kigger efter. Hvis\/n\u00e5r Novo Nordisk f\u00e5r det bedre, f\u00e5r danske aktier det bedre, det er en legitim antagelse.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hvorn\u00e5r sker det s\u00e5? Godt sp\u00f8rgsm\u00e5l. Tilbage i 2016 varede Novo Nordisks udfordringer 2\u20133 \u00e5r, men efter at aktien var faldet dramatisk, stabiliserede den sig, og fra slutningen af 2016 og et par \u00e5r frem \u2013 hvor Novo Nordisk stadig var udfordret \u2013 kom aktien sig gradvist. Det, som tog Novo Nordisk 2\u20133 \u00e5r i 2016, har de denne gang 2\u20133 kvartaler til at g\u00f8re. Det er v\u00e6rd at f\u00f8lge udviklingen t\u00e6t for at se, om de kan genvinde styrken.”
<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Ovenst\u00e5ende er ikke en anbefaling til at k\u00f8be eller s\u00e6lge v\u00e6rdipapirer<\/em>.Dette blogindl\u00e6g er udarbejdet til informationsform\u00e5l. Blogindl\u00e6gget udg\u00f8r s\u00e5ledes ikke investeringsm\u00e6ssig eller anden r\u00e5dgivning. Historisk afkast er ingen garanti for fremtidigt afkast. Finansielle instrumenter kan b\u00e5de stige og falde i v\u00e6rdi. Der er en risiko for, at du ikke f\u00e5r de investerede penge tilbage.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Er danske aktier t\u00e6t p\u00e5 et comeback \u2013 eller venter flere fald? F\u00e5 Per Hansens vurdering af markedet, Novo Nordisks rolle, og hvad 2026 kan byde p\u00e5 for de danske aktier.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":40017,"featured_media":74186,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"ghostkit_customizer_options":"","ghostkit_custom_css":"","ghostkit_custom_js_head":"","ghostkit_custom_js_foot":"","ghostkit_typography":"","_coblocks_attr":"","_coblocks_dimensions":"","_coblocks_responsive_height":"","_coblocks_accordion_ie_support":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[1288],"tags":[2310],"class_list":["post-74135","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markedet","tag-tophistorier"],"acf":[],"all_images":{"thumbnail":{"src":"https:\/\/blog.nordnet.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/12\/1200x430-novon-150x54.png","width":150,"height":54,"crop":true,"srcset":"https:\/\/blog.nordnet.dk\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/4\/2025\/12\/1200x430-novon-150x54.png 150w, 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